Economic Calendar
Track macro events: Fed meetings, GDP, inflation, employment data die markets bewegen.
Overzicht
De Economic Calendar track alle major macro events die impact hebben op markets:
- Fed Meetings (FOMC) - Interest rate decisions + press conferences
- Employment Data - NFP, unemployment rate, wage growth
- Inflation Reports - CPI, PPI, PCE data
- GDP Releases - Quarterly economic growth numbers
- Retail Sales - Consumer spending indicators
- PMI Data - Manufacturing & services activity
Tier 1 Events (Market Moving)
FOMC Meetings (8x per jaar)
Fed interest rate decisions - most impactful event. 2PM announcement + 2:30PM Powell presser. Volatility spikes, watch dot plot & guidance.
Nonfarm Payrolls (Eerste vrijdag/maand)
Employment report @ 8:30AM EST - jobs added, unemployment %, wage growth. Beat/miss kan 1-2% market move veroorzaken.
CPI Inflation (Maandelijks)
Consumer Price Index - Fed's #1 watched metric. Higher CPI = hawkish Fed = market sells off. Core CPI (excl food/energy) matters most.
GDP (Quarterly)
Economic growth rate - advance, preliminary, final estimates. Q1 & Q4 most important. <2% growth = recession fears, >3% = strong growth.
Tier 2 Events
- Retail Sales - Consumer spending (70% of GDP) - strong = bullish
- ISM Manufacturing - Business activity index, >50 = expansion
- Consumer Confidence - University of Michigan & Conference Board surveys
- Housing Starts - New construction indicator for economy
- Durable Goods Orders - Business investment spending
💡 Pro Tip: Reduce positions before FOMC & NFP - volatility kan extreme zijn, cash is position!
Fed Watch
- Dot Plot - Fed members interest rate projections
- Forward Guidance - Powell's language: "higher for longer", "data dependent"
- Fed Speakers - Track FOMC member speeches tussen meetings
- Fed Funds Futures - Market pricing of rate expectations
Data Interpretation
- Good News = Bad News - Strong economy → Fed stays hawkish → stocks down
- Bad News = Good News - Weak data → Fed dovish hopes → stocks up
- Goldilocks - Moderate growth + low inflation = beste scenario
- Stagflation Fear - High inflation + weak growth = worst case
Trading Strategy
- Event Risk Management - Reduce leverage before Tier 1 events
- Volatility Plays - Options straddles around FOMC/NFP
- Fade Initial Moves - First reaction often wrong, reversal common
- Watch Bonds First - Treasury yields react first, stocks follow
International Events
- ECB Meetings - European Central Bank rate decisions
- Bank of Japan - Yield curve control policy
- China PMI - Manufacturing data from world's factory
- UK CPI/BOE - Brexit impact, inflation, Bank of England