Commodities
Track Gold, Oil, Silver, Copper en andere commodities - inflation hedge + macro signals.
Overzicht
Commodities tracker geeft je real-time commodity data:
- Precious Metals - Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium prices
- Energy - WTI Crude, Brent Oil, Natural Gas
- Industrial Metals - Copper, Aluminum, Nickel
- Agriculture - Wheat, Corn, Soybeans, Coffee
- Price Charts - Historical trends + volatility
- Correlation Matrix - How commodities move vs stocks/bonds
Gold - Ultimate Safe Haven
Key Drivers
Gold rises during: Market crashes, inflation fears, dollar weakness, negative real yields. Central bank buying matters.
Correlations
Negative with dollar (DXY), Positive with fear (VIX). Negative with real yields. Gold does well when bonds do poorly.
How to Trade
GLD ETF (physical backed), Gold futures /GC, Gold mining stocks (GDX - 2x leverage to gold price).
Key Levels
$1800 major support, $2000 psychological, $2100+ = all-time high zone. Watch these levels closely.
Crude Oil - Economic Barometer
- WTI vs Brent - WTI = US benchmark ($70-80 range), Brent = International ($75-85 typical)
- OPEC Impact - Production cuts push prices up, increases push down. Saudi Arabia = swing producer
- Economic Indicator - Rising oil = strong demand = economy growing. Falling = recession fears
- Inflation Link - High oil drives inflation (gas prices), Fed forced to hike rates
💡 Pro Tip: Gold + Oil moving opposite directions = uncertainty. Both rising = stagflation fear!
Copper - Dr. Copper Predicts Economy
- Economic Barometer - Used in construction, autos, electronics. Demand = growth
- China Exposure - 50% of global demand from China. Tracks China economy
- Supply Issues - Mining takes years to ramp. Supply shocks drive huge moves
- EV Demand - Electric vehicles use 4x copper vs gas cars. Secular tailwind
Silver - Poor Man"s Gold
- Dual Nature - 50% investment demand (like gold), 50% industrial (solar, electronics)
- Volatility - Moves faster than gold. Gold/Silver ratio = 70-80 typical, >90 = silver cheap
- Supply Deficit - Demand exceeds mine supply - bullish long-term structure
- Leverage Play - Silver miners (SIL) = 3x leverage to silver price moves
Agriculture - Food Inflation
- Wheat - Ukraine/Russia = 30% of exports. War risk premium
- Corn - Ethanol demand, animal feed. Weather dependent
- Soybeans - China buys from US/Brazil. Trade war impact
- Coffee - Brazil frost risk. Consumer staple with inelastic demand
Trading Commodities
- Futures - Direct exposure, high leverage, rollover costs. For pros only
- ETFs - GLD (gold), USO (oil), DBA (agriculture). Easy access
- Mining Stocks - 2-3x leverage to commodity. Company risk though
- Commodity Currencies - AUD, CAD correlate with commodity prices
Macro Signals
- Gold Rally - Dollar weakness, rate cut expectations, geopolitical risk
- Oil Rally - Strong economy, supply disruption, OPEC cuts
- Copper Rally - China stimulus, infrastructure spending, EV boom
- All Commodities Up - Inflation scare, dollar collapse, supply shock
Inflation Hedge
- Best Hedges - Gold (proven), Energy (direct), Real Estate, TIPS bonds
- Why Gold Works - Can"t be printed, store of value 5000+ years, central banks hold it
- Oil Link - High oil = input cost inflation = CPI rise = Fed concern
- Portfolio Allocation - 5-10% commodities as diversifier + inflation protection