Market sentiment
Algemeen gevoel van markt of menigte.
Sentiment is het collectief emotionele gevoel van marktparticipanten — bullish (optimistisch) of bearish (pessimistisch).
Hoe gemeten:
- Surveys: AAII Sentiment Survey (retail investors), Investors Intelligence (newsletters)
- VIX: implied volatility = fear gauge
- Put/Call ratio: bearish vs bullish opties
- Fund flows: geld in/uit funds
- Social media: Twitter/Reddit volume + tone
- News sentiment: AI-analyse van financial news
Contrarian indicator:
Klassiek: extreme bullish sentiment = top is nabij. Extreme bearish = bottom nabij.
Buffett's regel: 'Be fearful when others are greedy, greedy when others are fearful.'
Voorbeelden:
- 2007 peak: extreme optimism, dan crash
- 2009 bottom: doom-and-gloom, dan +400% rally
- 2021 meme-stock peak: euforia, dan correction
In ons platform:
/dash/sentiment toont aggregaat van Reddit, Twitter, news sentiment per ticker.